Integrated modelling of zoonotic disease risk in emerging chicken food systems

Guillaume FOURNIE (primary)
Royal Veterinary College
Richard Stabler (secondary)
Dept Infection Biology


In South and Southeast Asia, the demand for chicken meat and eggs is growing rapidly. This is resulting in the intensification of chicken production and drastic transformations of the associated food systems, raising major concerns for food safety. Using a modelling approach, this project aims to assess how these changes influence the generation of foodborne disease risk, and to design risk mitigation interventions tailored to the characteristics of those emerging food systems.


Neves et al, 2019, The transmission dynamics of Campylobacter jejuni among broilers in semi-commercial farms in Jordan. Epidemiology and Infection 147:e134.
Hill et al, 2017, Towards an integrated food safety surveillance system: a simulation study to explore the potential of combining genomic and epidemiological metadata. Royal Society Open Science 4(3):160721.
FourniƩ et al, 2011, Impact of the implementation of rest days in live bird markets on the dynamics of H5N1 highly pathogenic avian influenza. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 8(61):1079-8
Ligowska et al, 2011, Effect of chicken meat environment on gene expression of Campylobacter jejuni and its relevance to survival in food. International journal of food microbiology, 145:S111-S115.

Animal disease, health and welfare
Area of Biology
Techniques & Approaches
Mathematics / StatisticsSimulation / Modelling