Using mathematical modelling to evaluate the impact of urbanisation and population aging in South-East Asia on disease transmission.

Abstract

Over the last few decades, many countries globally have experienced rapid social and demographic change. The consequential change in social contact structure will affect disease transmission and challenge the effectiveness of current control measures for infectious diseases that partially rely on herd protection. Surveys conducted in countries of rapid social change in Southeast Asia have helped quantifying mixing patterns in various settings. By developing mathematical models the PhD candidate will extrapolate social and demographic changes in these countries and corresponding changes in contact patterns and evaluate the implications on targeted minimal vaccine coverage to protect the aging population.

References

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